WEATHER UPDATE

Expect dry January, weatherman forecast

Some few places to experience rainfall during the first and second weeks, says MET

In Summary

• "The reduction of water and pasture over the northern sector of the country may lead to human to human and human to wildlife conflicts,” the weather outlook showed.

• Met advised the Ministry of Interior and humanitarian institutions to put in place measures to avert possible negative impacts that may arise.

City dwellers and most travellers traveling upcountry for the festive season are caught by the rain as they find their way to Machakos Bus Station Nairobi on Tuesday December 21.
WEATHER UPDATE: City dwellers and most travellers traveling upcountry for the festive season are caught by the rain as they find their way to Machakos Bus Station Nairobi on Tuesday December 21.
Image: WILFRED NYANGARESI

January will be a typical dry month but few places will experience some rains, the weatherman has said. 

The weather forecast for January 2022 indicates that most parts of the country will experience dry weather conditions.

However, some parts of the country will experience occasional rainfall during the first and second weeks of January.

Areas forecasted to remain generally sunny and dry towards the end of the month include Siaya, Busia, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira and Bomet.

Others are Kericho, Narok, Kajiado, Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Taita Taveta, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang'a, Kiambu, Meru and Embu counties.

Stella Aura, director of the Kenya Meteorological Department, said the rainfall forecast for January 2022 is mainly based on the evolution of sea surface temperature gradients and patterns over the Indian, Pacific and Atlantic oceans as well as upper air circulation patterns.

“The outlook for January 2022 is mainly based on empirical statistical models developed from expected evolution of global sea surface temperature anomalies and the southern oscillation index,” Aura said.

Kenya Meteorological Department acting director Stella Aura and meteorological training research director David Mburu during weather update press conference in Nairobi on March 18, 2019.
WEATHER FORECAST: Kenya Meteorological Department acting director Stella Aura and meteorological training research director David Mburu during weather update press conference in Nairobi on March 18, 2019.
Image: ENOS TECHE

She said the equatorial sea surface temperatures are below average from the west - central-eastern Pacific Ocean and above average in the western Pacific.

This, she said, implies that la niña conditions are present and this usually results in below average rainfall over Kenya.

Aura said January being a typically dry month will be suitable for harvesting, drying and storage of grains in the agricultural areas of south-eastern and highlands east of the Rift Valley.

“Reduction of pasture and fodder for wildlife and livestock is still likely especially over the north-western and parts of the north-eastern sectors of the country.

"The reduction of water and pasture over the northern sector of the country may lead to human to human and human to wildlife conflicts,” the weather outlook showed.

Met advised the Ministry of Interior and humanitarian institutions to put in place measures to avert possible negative impacts that may arise such as the loss of lives, livelihoods and property.

On water resources management and energy, Aura said the expected dry conditions may impact negatively on the major river catchment areas for the country’s hydroelectric power generating dams.

She advised the public to invest in water harvesting practices/techniques to harness the occasional rain water in areas where rainfall is expected.

According to Famine Early Warning Systems Network global weather hazards summary report, heavy rainfall was observed in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia towards the end of December 2021.

“Over the past 14 days, increased rainfall was reported in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia which led to flooding in Kitui county.

"Over the past 30 days, below average rainfall was experienced throughout the region.

"Over the past 60 days, below-average rainfall persisted over southern Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia. This lack of rainfall led to dry conditions across the Horn of Africa,” the early warning report said.

(Edited by Bilha Makokha)

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