POPULARITY CONTEST

Azimio maintains popularity over Kenya Kwanza - Tifa

The poll also shows that the Raila-Karua ticket is the most popular at 46.7%.

In Summary

• The poll shows that Azimio's popularity remained unchanged in May and June at 42 per cent but shot to 47 per cent in July while Kenya Kwanza's popularity rose from 28 per cent in May to 35 per cent in June before hitting 42 per cent in July.

• A total of 2,056 respondents were interviewed across nine regions in the country between July 21 and July 26, 2022.

Azimio la Umoja Presidential candidate Raila Odinga,and running mate Martha Karua confer during the launch of the coalition's manifesto.
Azimio la Umoja Presidential candidate Raila Odinga,and running mate Martha Karua confer during the launch of the coalition's manifesto.
Image: FILE

The Azimio la Umoja One Kenya coalition has maintained popularity over Kenya Kwanza in the latest opinion poll conducted by Tifa.

The survey indicates that whereas Kenya Kwanza has enjoyed a steady growth in popularity since May, Azimio remains the most popular alliance with a 47 per cent approval rating compared to Kenya Kwanza's 42 per cent.

The poll shows that Azimio's popularity remained unchanged in May and June at 42 per cent but shot to 47 per cent in July while Kenya Kwanza's popularity rose from 28 per cent in May to 35 per cent in June before hitting 42 per cent in July.

The number of undecided voters over the three-month period declined from 10, 9 and 6 per cent respectively same as the number of respondents who did not identify with either of the alliances which dropped from 21 per cent in May to 14 per cent in June and down to 5 per in July.

The survey was conducted between July 21 and July 26, 2022, a month since the previous survey.

A total of 2,056 respondents were interviewed across nine regions in the country.

The survey had a margin of error of +/- 2.16.

Largely following the pattern of support for the party alliances, the survey found that the Raila Odinga-Martha Karua enjoys higher support among voters across the country with 46.7 per cent against the William Ruto-Rigathi Gachagua pair who got 44.4 per cent.

The Raila-Karua ticket is most popular in Nyanza at 80 per cent followed by Western at 61 per cent.

The Azimio team is also most popular in South Rift (60%), Nairobi (59%) and Lower Eastern (58%).

The Ruto-Rigathi ticket on the other hand is most popular in two of the nine regions - Central Rift (83%), and Mt Kenya (66%). 

The poll showed that only one-fifth of Kenyans (20%) believe that someone with a corrupt past can still be a good leader with nearly three-quarters holding the opposite view (73%).

"However, more than twice as many of Ruto’s supporters as Raila’s agree with this view (29% vs. 12%)," lead researcher Tom Wolf said.

In terms of party popularity, UDA remains the most popular political party (41%), followed by ODM (at 34%), with the third most popular party, Jubilee, far behind (6%).

All the other parties share an 11 per cent popularity share leaving only 9 per cent of respondents who neither “feel close to” nor “support” any party, or are undecided about the choice.


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