Virus deaths cross 800 mark, 602 new cases recorded

In Summary

•A total of 80  people have recovered from the disease, 51  from the home-based care programme, while 29  have been discharged from hospitals.

•Total recoveries now stand at 31,508.

Unilever CEO Paul Polman, Rotary District Governor Patrick Obath and Health CAS Mercy Mwangangi lift their hands to make letter H for hands during the Global hand washing day at Amref International University on October 15,2020.
Unilever CEO Paul Polman, Rotary District Governor Patrick Obath and Health CAS Mercy Mwangangi lift their hands to make letter H for hands during the Global hand washing day at Amref International University on October 15,2020.
Image: MERCY MUMO

Kenya recorded 602 new cases of Covid-19 on Thursday, continuing the trend of a positivity rate of above 10 per cent

The new cases were from a sample size of 5,618   tested in  the last 24 hours.

This brings to 43,143 the  number of  confirmed positive cases in   the  country.

Kenya's cumulative  tests are now 607,241.   

From the cases, 585  are Kenyans and 17 are foreigners.  407  are males and 195  females.

The youngest  is a one-year  old child while the oldest is 93.

A total of 80  people have recovered from the disease, 51  from the home-based care programme, while 29  have been discharged from hospitals. Total recoveries now stand at 31,508.

However, eight  patients  have succumbed to  the  disease, bringing  the fatality to 805.

Distribution of the cases by Counties is as follows; Nairobi 133, Nakuru 47,  Uasin Gishu  47,  Kilifi 46,    Kisumu 46,  Mombasa 44, Kericho  32,  Kakamega  28,  Turkana 25,  Kisii  21,  Machakos  20.

Others are Laikipia  13,  Nvanderua 12,  Bungoma 12,  Kiambu 11,  Nandi  10, Busia 7, Kajiado 7,  Baringo 6, Garissa 6, West Pokot  5, Nyamira, Makueni 3, Nyeri 2, Embu 2, Siaya 2, Barnet 2, Vihiga  2, Lamu, Wajir, Samburu, Narok, Murang'a and Meru have one each.

Second wave

Scientists appear divided on whether Kenya will experience a 'second wave' of Covid-19 infections. 

Last month, the government warned of a possible 'second wave' should there be public laxity or relaxation of containment measures.

However, some studies indicate there is unlikely to be an implosion of infections and fatalities in the future. 

According to the World Health Organization, the pandemic appears as a single, large outbreak with ups and downs - discounting the idea of a 'second wave.'

The latest model on the outbreak in Kenya does not project a 'second wave' but slightly raised infections because of relaxed health measures. 

It suggests Kenya's curve will follow an exponential smoothing model, which assumes the future will be more or less the same as the (recent) past.

"The trends of Covid-19 new cases will...be raised slightly for Egypt and Kenya," says the study - Modelling and Forecasting of Covid-19 New Cases in the Top 10 Infected African Countries - which has not yet been peer-reviewed.  It is displayed in the pre-print platform Medrxiv.

The study was conducted three weeks ago with the current trends in Kenya.

"Strong appropriate public health and social measures must be instituted on the grounds again," the researchers recommend.