We are going to have the issue of primaries that will make or break the parties. There is tension already.
You can see tension in Western Kenya, where DAP-K has become very strong, and then there is traditional ODM.
The likes of Governor Wycliffe Oparanya are feeling a bit uncomfortable; they are trying to address those issues because they are going to pose a challenge.
Nomination is not a problem to Azimio, it is a problem to the Tangatanga side.
You have seen the tension between former Starehe MP Margaret Wanjiru and Senator Sakaja.
That tells you if they are going to agree to joint nominations, they are going to be very explosive.
Another major issue that will break the coalitions is the choice of the running mate.
The two major formations have indicated they will pick their running mates from Mt Kenya region. The question is who is this from Mt. Kenya region?
There must be a very delicate balancing act so that you don’t pick a running mate, then the choice ends up scattering the rest of the team.
Again, IEBC just recruited directors and not a substantive CEO. Why are we going into an election without a CEO and substantive director for voter registration and ICT?
Those are crucial dockets in carrying out the election process.
There is quite a bit of confusion in terms of the impact of the new law but the main aim was to try to cure the issue of mistrust. Remember the problem we had with Nasa partners when ODM refused to give them cash.
Those are issues the new law is trying to cure.
Even in the last elections Raila didn’t run on Nasa, he ran on ODM because Nasa was not registered, they just deposited the instruments of the coalition with the Registrar of Parties.
Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka ran on ODM when he was not a member of the party; strictly speaking ,someone could go to court to challenge the system.
If you don’t belong to a particular party, how would you be running on its ticket?
Those were some of the defects the new law was trying to cure.
The analyst spoke to the Star.
(Edited by V. Graham)