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News26 July 2026 - 10:39

After unity, opposition's next battle is sharing power

Coalition principals are grappling with balancing regional interests and rewarding allies

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by MOSES OGADA
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Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka and DCP's Rigathi Gachagua
The Kalonzo Musyoka and Rigathi Gachagua-led opposition is edging closer to presenting a united front against President William Ruto for the 2027 election.

But even as unity talks continue, a tougher battle over sharing power is unfolding behind closed doors.

The coalition principals are grappling with balancing regional interests and rewarding allies without alienating key voting blocs.

The Star has established that power-sharing talks have intensified as negotiations on the coalition structure gather momentum.

DCP leader Rigathi Gachagua hinted at the tough negotiations, saying the coalition structure is among the “heated issues” in his 45-day conclave.

Sources familiar with the discussions say leaders are aware that the coalition's biggest test may not be defeating Ruto, but keeping its own house together.

Besides the discussions on the presidential ticket, negotiators are already discussing how to distribute the powerful offices should the opposition form the next government.

The list includes the Prime CS or Prime Minister should the Nadco proposals be implemented.

It also has Speaker of the National Assembly, Speaker of the Senate, Majority leadership in both Houses and the distribution of Cabinet positions.

The challenge is made even more difficult by the calibre of leaders involved.

Kalonzo Musyoka, Rigathi Gachagua, Fred Matiang'i and Edwin Sifuna all command significant political constituencies and expect meaningful roles should they win.

Sources say every appointment is being examined through the lenses of regional balance, political influence and electoral value.

Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have remained the frontrunners for the coalition's flag bearer.

The balancing act has become even more complicated following the emergence of new political centres of influence.

Western Kenya and Mount Kenya have arguably presented a delicate calculation.

Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua remains Mt Kenya’s most influential opposition figure despite his impeachment.

Sources say discussions are ongoing on how best to accommodate him should the opposition take power.

One proposal under consideration is to assign him the office of Prime CS or Prime Minister through the Nadco process.

But that proposal depends partly on the outcome of Gachagua's legal battle before the Appeals Court.

Nyanza is equally central to the negotiations. Following Raila Odinga's death in October 2025, the fight for his political base has become a central feature of the 2027 politics.

Coalition negotiators are keen to cater to Nyanza interests in the alliance.

Word is that the discussions are focusing on retaining some of the heavyweight Cabinet portfolios like in the broad-based arrangement.

According to sources, proposals being floated would see the region keep the Treasury and Energy ministries.

Some negotiators have also suggested allocating Interior and Health to Nyanza should the Kalonzo-led coalition form government.

The thinking, insiders say, is that retaining powerful ministries would reassure Raila's support base.

The proposals, however, are expected to trigger resistance from other regions also seeking a greater share of national power.

The challenge extends beyond Cabinet appointments.

Coalition insiders say the offices of Speaker of the National Assembly and Speaker of the Senate are emerging as highly contested positions.

Martha Karua and Eugene Wamalwa’s names have featured as possible picks.

Several regions are expected to demand one of the two offices if they miss out on the presidency or deputy presidency.

Parliamentary leadership is also viewed as critical because it influences the government's legislative agenda and succession politics.

Negotiators are, therefore, trying to avoid a situation where one region dominates both the Executive and Parliament.

Some strategists say the coalition must also reserve room for smaller affiliate parties whose support will matter during the election.

Already, signs are emerging of how different regions are positioning themselves ahead of the negotiations.

The appointment of four prominent Western leaders to the rejigged Azimio Council has attracted political attention.

Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, Vihiga Senator Godfrey Osotsi, Siaya Governor James Orengo and constitutional lawyer Caroli Omondi have all been named to the council.

The opposition is said to be working with the caution that it cannot afford prolonged public disputes over positions.

Kenya Kwanza has repeatedly accused its rivals of being united only by the desire to remove Ruto from office.

Open wrangles over power-sharing would reinforce that narrative and hand the ruling coalition valuable political ammunition.

Insiders say much of the bargaining is taking place quietly through back-channel negotiations involving a small group of trusted leaders.


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