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Survey: Kenyans warn Tobacco Bill will fuel black market, kill jobs

Among users of such products, 81 percent agreed the ban would push sales underground.

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by STAR REPORTER

News02 October 2025 - 09:47
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In Summary


  • A nationwide survey conducted by the Campaign for Safer Alternatives (CASA) polled 1,022 adults between August 29 and September 4. 
  • According to the findings, 73 percent of respondents said banning vapes and nicotine pouches would lead to illegal sales and growth of the black market.
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Protester poses with a placard during a procession to the Kenyan Parliament to present a petition.

A majority of Kenyans believe that a proposed law to tighten restrictions on nicotine products will backfire, driving consumers to the black market, threatening jobs, and limiting access to safer alternatives, a new survey shows.

The Tobacco Control (Amendment) Bill 2024, currently before the Senate, seeks to ban flavoured vapes and nicotine pouches while imposing additional restrictions on other reduced-risk products.

Supporters say the measures are aimed at protecting public health, but critics argue they will undermine tobacco harm reduction efforts.

A nationwide survey conducted by the Campaign for Safer Alternatives (CASA) polled 1,022 adults between August 29 and September 4.

According to the findings, 73 percent of respondents said banning vapes and nicotine pouches would lead to illegal sales and growth of the black market.

Among users of such products, 81 percent agreed the ban would push sales underground, while more than half said they would easily find flavoured products illegally if restrictions took effect.

CASA chairman Joseph Magero said the data shows the Bill risks worsening Kenya’s already significant problem with illicit trade.

“Bans and excessive restrictions will only drive consumers to criminals, fuel unemployment and deepen poverty,” Magero said. “Kenya’s illicit cigarette trade already controls 45 percent of the market, and this Bill will make a bad situation worse.”

The study also found strong support for harm reduction strategies. Eighty-three percent of respondents said they back government adoption of tobacco harm reduction policies, while 85 percent believe encouraging smokers to switch to safer alternatives would help them quit.

Nearly two-thirds said the government should run awareness campaigns on the benefits of switching.

Bar owners association of Kenya Secretary General, Boniface Gachoka, during a procession to the Kenyan parliament.

Last week, bar owners and retailers petitioned the Senate to delay debate on the Bill until more public participation is conducted.

They argued the legislation could hurt small businesses and limit consumer choice.

The economic impact of the Bill also emerged as a key concern. Two out of three respondents (67 percent) identified unemployment as the country’s most pressing challenge.

 Critics of the Bill say outlawing safer nicotine products would shut down legitimate businesses and worsen joblessness.

“Safer nicotine alternatives are saving lives and easing the public health burden around the world,” Magero said. “Banning them in Kenya is a gift to the black market and a setback for thousands of smokers trying to quit.”

The Bill seeks to update Kenya’s Tobacco Control Act of 2007 to regulate new nicotine products, restrict advertising, and ban unapproved items.

 Lawmakers are expected to continue debate in the coming weeks, with pressure mounting from both public health advocates and consumer groups.

 

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