The goon culture we
are witnessing in Kenya is not simply a law-and-order problem of thugs for political hire or just thuggery.
It
points to a bigger geopolitical trend in which democracies are gradually yielding to the politics of
intimidation, brute force and impunity.
A march by the Patriot Front, a far-right white
nationalist group, through Washington, DC, on July 4 Independence Day is one sign of a
broader drift.
Across the world,
there is a discernible pattern of democratic backsliding, with violence and the brutal imposition of power
increasingly replacing diplomacy, respect for institutions and the rule of law.
Critics argue that
during US President Donald Trump’s second administration this climate has emboldened expressions of extremism,
sometimes violence, around issues such as race, immigration, policing and war.
The Patriot Front
march is only the latest example. Videos shared on social media showed members marching near the US
Capitol and Union Station wearing khaki trousers, blue shirts, white face
coverings and sunglasses while carrying the group’s flags and chanting “Reclaim America.”
Whether symbolic or not, the spectacle reflected a growing confidence among groups
that once occupied the political fringe.
Back home in Kenya,
as election temperatures rise, the goon problem is gathering momentum. More worrying than the
violence itself is the apparent inability — or unwillingness — of security agencies
to confront it decisively. That perception alone is enough to embolden those who see
violence as a viable political enterprise.
Look at the Linda
Mwanachi rally in Kisii that turned embarrassing and deadly over the last weekend. It forms a possible
continuum of a trend of organised violence targeting opposition groups.
Political violence
is a storied aspect of our politics and the fact that in 2026 the state seems
to be egging it on is not
just astonishing but also egregious.
The Kisii incident followed the July 3 disruption of traffic flow along busy
Thika Road by people protesting against the demolition of their houses.
The demonstrations disrupted the morning rush hour as residents
blocked sections of the road, forcing motorists to endure long traffic snarl-ups while police moved
in to restore order.
A similar incident
happened on June 26 along Nairobi’s Outer Ring Road after suspected goons staged demonstrations
around Kiamaiko Bridge and the Kariobangi roundabout, disrupting movement and
targeting motorists.
Witnesses said the group barricaded sections of the road,
robbed motorists and passengers and pelted moving vehicles with stones, forcing many
drivers to abandon the route.
While these may be
legitimate issues to protest against ¾ the constitution
guarantees the right
to peaceful protest and picketing - and disrupt
the normal flow of life to court attention, a trend of lawlessness and anarchy
seems to be forming.
It seems that any group of people with any claim of offence can take the law
into their own hands and pursue what they deem to be remedies without regard for good
order.
This is particularly dangerous as political passion is ticking up because groups of young
unemployed men seem to be telling politicians that their services are available for hire.
Each incident has
its own immediate context. Taken together, however, they suggest something more disturbing.
A culture
is emerging in which groups of young men appear ready to hire themselves out to
politicians, while politicians increasingly see them as useful instruments of political
competition.
Once that relationship becomes entrenched,violence ceases to be an
exception and becomes expected, even accepted, as another campaign tactic.
This is not to
suggest that the problem began with the current administration. Political violence has long been woven into
Kenya’s electoral history.
During President Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration, opposition
demonstrations were frequently met not only by heavy-handed policing but also by
tolerated or even authorised civilian groups that appeared to operate violently with remarkable
freedom, while law enforcement often did not intervene.
The anti-IEBC protests of 2016 and the
violence surrounding the 2017 election remain enduring reminders of how quickly institutions
can give way to coercion.
President William
Ruto’s administration inherited that ugly tradition but has done little to persuade Kenyans that it intends to
break from it.
The 2023 anti-government protests were marked by allegations of excessive
force, while rights organisations documented claims that armed civilian groups operated
alongside police in some areas.
The Gen Z protests of 2024 deepened those concerns through
documented killings, enforced disappearances, arbitrary arrests and attacks on journalists and
activists.
The point is not
that Kenya is becoming America. Rather, both countries illustrate a broader international tendency in
which political polarisation weakens institutional restraint and normalises
intimidation.
In the United States, critics argue that the political handling of the January 6, 2021,
attack on the Capitol, and President Trump’s subsequent pardons of many convicted
participants, has reinforced the perception that accountability increasingly depends on political
affiliation rather than principle. Kenya faces a similar danger whenever violence is tolerated
because its perpetrators are politically useful.
That is why
monetary compensation for victims, important as it is, cannot substitute for accountability, justice and reform.
Whether the victims are protesters killed by police or citizens attacked by hired gangs, justice
requires more than financial settlements. It requires identifying those who organised the violence,
those who executed it and those who looked away.
The greatest danger
as Kenya heads into another election cycle is not simply the presence of goons. It is the gradual
acceptance of political violence as a legitimate instrument of competition.
Democracies rarely collapse in dramatic fashion.
They erode when institutions stop enforcing the
law impartially and when intimidation becomes more rewarding than persuasion.
We
have travelled that road before, witnessing the 2007-08 apocalyptic scenes of post-election
violence. We should not become resigned to travelling it again.
The writer is studying strategic communications
and digital strategy at the University of Oklahoma in the US