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NGAIRA: Kenya’s pandemic preparedness gains risk collapse without sustainable funding

The budget allocated to health in Kenya has persistently fallen below the 15% target set by the Abuja Declaration.

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by DERRICK NGAIRA

Star-blogs08 July 2025 - 20:51
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In Summary


  • Event-based surveillance (EBS) systems played a vital role during the COVID-19 pandemic, enabling rapid detection and response.
  • However, these advancements are undercut by persistent weaknesses.

Healthcare stakeholders illustration.

Over the past few years, Kenya has taken significant steps toward strengthening its surveillance, pandemic preparedness, and response (S-PPR) systems.

The COVID-19 pandemic served as a wake-up call for many countries, including Kenya, revealing both strengths and deep-rooted vulnerabilities in public health infrastructure and emergency response.

A study by the African Institute for Development Policy (AFIDEP) finds that Kenya has made commendable progress in integrating S-PPR into its strategic health documents.

The Ministry of Health Strategic Plan (2023–2027) and the National Public Health Institute Strategic Plan (2022–2026) both emphasise robust surveillance systems, cross-sectoral coordination, and capacity development.

Event-based surveillance (EBS) systems played a vital role during the COVID-19 pandemic, enabling rapid detection and response.

However, these advancements are undercut by persistent weaknesses.

The budget allocated to health in Kenya has persistently fallen below the 15% target set by the Abuja Declaration, with only 9.7% of the national budget allocated to health in FY2023/24.

Within this budget, pandemic preparedness receives a disproportionately small share. Allocations for disease surveillance and pandemic response also dropped significantly, from around 22% of the health budget in FY2021/22 due to COVID-19 intervention to less than 1% in subsequent years.

A heavy reliance on external donors further complicates the situation. Between 2016 and 2019, external support for surveillance programmes rose from 54.4% to 90.2%, while domestic public spending on the same dropped sharply, from 32.4% to 0.8%.

This dependency puts Kenya in a vulnerable position, particularly as global funding shifts.

There are also glaring financing gaps.

 Kenya requires approximately $4.35 per capita annually to maintain core S-PPR functions, yet the country falls short of this benchmark.

An estimated $40–50 million initial funding gap exists, with ongoing annual shortfalls between $20–30 million, affecting investments in surveillance technology, emergency stockpiles, and health workforce training.

Only 60% of counties have adequate diagnostic facilities.

 The limited availability of essential laboratory infrastructure, diagnostic tools, and skilled personnel hinders the country’s ability to identify and respond to health threats promptly.

To address the challenges highlighted, strategic actions are necessary.

First, the country should establish a legal framework through a Pandemic Preparedness and Response Act, which would empower the Kenya National Public Health Institute (KNPHI) to lead the coordination and implementation of surveillance and pandemic preparedness efforts.

There is also a dire need to establish a National Pandemic Preparedness Fund, managed at the Central Bank.

The fund will be used to collect resources raised from various sources, including domestic revenue, donor funding, and a health security levy imposed on excisable goods such as tobacco, alcohol, and sugary drinks.

 In addition, the government needs to increase budget allocations, suggesting that 1–2% of the overall health budget be specifically dedicated to pandemic preparedness and response functions.

Infrastructure and workforce development are also key. We must scale up the electronic Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (e-IDSR) system, expand training opportunities for epidemiologists, and deploy mobile diagnostic units across counties to enhance early detection capabilities.

To ensure financial accountability, the country needs to centralise and streamline resource use under a unified PPR Resource Pool, accompanied by the establishment of a National S-PPR Resource Efficiency Framework to track performance and enhance the impact of funding.

Finally, we should integrate surveillance and pandemic preparedness into long-term health sector planning.

This integration ensures that preparedness is treated not as a temporary project but as a core investment aligned with Kenya’s universal health coverage (UHC) goals.

Kenya is not short of systems, strategies, and partnerships, but without sustainable financing, centralised coordination, and domestic ownership, the country remains vulnerable to future pandemics.

We must have a timely and evidence-informed roadmap for action for policymakers to act on. Indeed, investing in pandemic preparedness is a national security imperative.

 

 

Derick Ngaira is a Communications Officer at the African Institute for Development Policy. [email protected]

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