The allied mob injustice on the One Kenya Alliance killed their baby before it was born.
This isn't a fair precedent for coalition building. At least not so fast after the murder of the National Super Alliance.
Coalition building demands leadership, sacrifices, and recognition of each other's special abilities. Oka, as it were, doesn't have a leader. It had four belligerent siblings fighting for space. Did the allies have to kill Nasa to abort Oka? They buried Nasa last year citing mistrust and betrayal. Now the allies have murdered Oka, again citing mistrust and betrayal.
Kanu presidential aspirant Senator Gideon Moi is wondering whether it was sensible for his allies to kill Nasa to seduce him into an alliance that was destined for stillbirth.
The allied forces don't trust Gideon. The distrust mounted after former President Daniel Moi's son, invited Azimio La Umoja Movement architect Raila Odinga to Kanu's endorsement of the prince as its presidential candidate.
Moi scion's dalliance with Raila was treated as a betrayal of Oka. They suspected Raila came to overshadow the allies during their sisterly show. They suspected the senator was waiting for the right moment to betray the wobbly alliance.
Accusations of mistrust and betrayal flew out of Oka when the leader invited Raila Odinga to the launch of Kalonzo Musyoka's presidential run.
The former vice president spoke glowingly of the troubled presidential journey they have shared with Raila. The ODM leader also suggested that they may be traveling different roads, but their paths would cross soon. The optimism raised suspicion.
ANCs Cleophas Malala may have been speaking for Mudavadi, his party leader, when he accused Raila of raiding the Wiper fete. Suspicious of betrayal and mistrust have always clouded Oka's troubled gestation. Shared accusations of mistrust preceded the stillbirth. Another alliance is dying before it's born. Mudavadi quake buried Oka when his allies walked out on him on Sunday.
The infant alliance is suffocating under the ambitions of four presidential aspirants, even as they say they would present one presidential candidate. Mudavadi is saying you either give me the ticket or I kill Oka. The allies appointed a technical committee early last year to find a formula for choosing a single presidential candidate. Three deadlines for the choice have been missed.
Mudavadi missed a pre-single president candidate naming rite, citing personal engagements. The former VP missed the labour pains of his brainchild. Mudavadi's declaration of a lonely presidential run in the era of coalitions didn't surprise. He has always belabored the intention. The earthquake he promised did not happen. Other than attracting jibes from his disillusioned supporters, there was no tremor. His supporters are cynical about his ability to clout up.
A former colleague Otuma Ongalo wrote: "Musalia Mudavadi has promised a political declaration that will shock Kenyans. I cannot contemplate any declaration that will shock anyone." "Whether he joins Azimio or UDA it won't shock. Whether he endorses one of his OKA principals, it won't shock. I won't be shocked if he stops dreaming that he will be the next president. He can go for Sabatia MP's seat, which is not assured."
The scion of Sabatia's Mululu village did not shock when he spoke on Sunday. He travelled the same road, with his allies who want a single presidential candidate for Oka, but are declaring fatigued, solo runs. There is math to winning a presidential election. Reasonable voters are unlikely to vote for election tenderpreneurs. Unmoderated ambitions, and bitterness are not pathways to State House.