Martha Karua does not have capital in Central Kenya, she has it among technocrats.
Though her group has named her as their Mt Kenya spokesperson, politically, it is a very insignificant position for leader of Narc and a former Justice minister.
Karua is respected within professional groupings. But her mobilising within Central Kenya is an uphill task.
However, all political actors are analysing the developments and have realised DP William Ruto is strong and one of the proposals was to negotiate power within.
The manoeuvres by Gatundu South MP Moses Kuria pushing Karua as a running mate and demanding 40 per cent of the next government is a scheme by the 'deep state' to negotiate a stake in Ruto's government.
They want to push Karua as a project but she is very independent and I don't think she'll accept.
What does Karua bring on board for Oka?
Oka is a patriarchal association and she may bring the female aspect but not the two-thirds gender rule. She is getting into a formation that is already confused, undergoing a self coup. It won't survive.
Oka is technically made up of Musalia Mudavadi who has one leg in and the other leg out, Kalonzo Musyoka who has his both legs in, Moses Wetang'ulawho has his entire body in and, of course. Gideon Moi who is fully with Raila Odinga.
Raila is charting his own way forward and within the political cycles, the intelligence is that Gideon will be his running mate.
We are seeing a wider scheme to manage Oka so they run out the constitutional timelines and eventually disintegrate.
They will not have time to organise themselves into a formidable team Oka is trying to attract everything and everyone to build political capital.
Mudavadi is throwing jabs contrary to Oka. He is attacking Raila and his troops indicate he may go it alone.
The feeling from his party is that he should go it alone.
They do not want any alliance with Raila whatsoever. It's predictable that by December and January, Oka will still not be formidable force because its principals pull in different directions.
The pastor and political analyst spoke to the Star
(Edited by V. Graham)
