Jubilee is already split and its leaders are no longer together. What this therefore means is that it is not a question of if Jubilee will split but a question of when the party will break.
It appears leaders of the party are going in opposite directions and their resolve is that they cannot be made compatible. That is what it looks like so far, judging from recent happenings in the party.
The party leader President Uhuru Kenyatta and his deputy William Ruto are obviously reading from different scripts. Kenyatta does not seem to support the Deputy President’s political activities.
When leaders are going separate ways, you cannot expect the membership to remain together. I think there is already deep distrust in Jubilee’s leadership and among supporters.
It will take a miracle to keep the party together going by the current happenings. It is a sad thing for Jubilee but that is what it is. It is a reality.
This could be one reason why rival party ODM is slowly regaining ground because the relationship in Jubilee appears to be like that of a couple on the verge of divorce.
Perhaps to borrow from what lawyer Ahmednasir Abdulahi said, its like a married couple who are living in two separate houses.
What brought the Jubilee team together appears to be no longer there. The differences seem to be irreconcilable and the only way out is to end the relationship.
At the moment, the leadership is trying as much as possible not to portray an image of a divided party, but that cannot last for very long because some things have to come out in the open eventually.
There may be other factors keeping the party going, but this may not last for long and it could happen even before the next polls.
However, the leadership of Jubilee can still focus their energies on saving the party and working together to rebuild the party.
Prof Frank Matanga, a political science lecturer at Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology spoke to the Star
