• DP Ruto cannot choose to stick with boys and expect to roar to victory, especially during these days of betrayal.
• That is why he should deliberately assemble a brand new shopping list of worthy allies if he is to win in 2022.
History is replete with tales of betrayal. Stalin betrayed Lenin, Roman politician Marcus Brutus betrayed Julius Ceasar in 44 BC by orchestrating his murder.
History shows how people betrayed their governments (via revolutions). Once upon a time, India was painfully betrayed by Indonesia, and Japan betrayed Britain. The list is long.
In politics, betrayal is used to cut opponents or allies-turned-foes down to size. It is the main ingredient in the treacherous game of politics.
Closer to home, political betrayal is in vogue, especially as we head full throttle to 2022 politics.
Niccolò Machiavelli lived close to five centuries ago but his political theories are still relevant today. He believed that a leader should sometimes throw caution to the winds to survive.
Machiavelli said politicians “should take advantage of his science of human behaviour to control outcomes”. This is what is summed up as effective truth and anyone who ignores it will not succeed.
Machiavelli’s school of thought will be played out this year and going forward. The men and women burning with political aspirations today are on a treacherous road paved with betrayal. But that's life. It's the way of things to walk away without as much as a grain of guilt. Ask Aisha Jumwa.
This is because we are human and humans compete for the survival of the fittest.
If today I stood on the peak of Mt Elgon and asked Kenyans whom they think has been betrayed, 90 per cent of the populace will shout, “William Ruto!” I would concur and aver that indeed, the betrayal has been solely directed at the Prince of Hustlerdom himself.
Is this betrayal personal? I don’t think so. It is just the way things go when a political vehicular takes a U-turn or detours from its intended journey.
When the foot hits the gas pedal after the detour, only permanent interests rule the roost. French author Alexandre Dumas said, “In politics, my dear fellow, you know, as well as I do, there are no men, but ideas — no feelings, but interests; in politics we do not kill a man, we only remove an obstacle, that is all.”
But all is not lost. With concerned people such as former Bomet Governor Isaac Rutto, the DP has an opportunity to safeguard his political fortunes but only if he listens to advice. He cannot choose to stick with boys and expect to roar to victory, especially during these days of betrayal.
He can ignore his namesake’s words of wisdom to his detriment. Last week, the CCM founder told his former bosom friend to heed to his unsolicited advice by reducing his retinue of inexperienced politicians. It is not too late for the DP to score for seasoned allies.
His unbridled desire to hobnob with political novices, who cannot even call for a cattle dip baraza, will endanger his journey to the top seat.
I agree with Rutto that the greenhorns the DP surrounds himself with will one day dissolve into thin air, leaving him stranded and vulnerable to the political storms ahead.
That is why he should deliberately draw up a brand new shopping list of worthy allies if he is to realise his 2022 dreams.
In his Rift Valley backyard, the DP is slowly losing friends who could have enriched his presidential dreams.
Uasin Gishu Governor Jackson Mandago and his Elgeyo Marakwet counterpart Alex Tolgos have already jumped ship. Even Rutto himself is in a wait-and-see position over his support for the DP’s ambitions.
How on earth will National Assembly Majority Whip Benjamin Washiali and Kimilili MP Didmus Baraza attract votes for the DP from the Western region?
What of Trans Nzoia Governor Patrick Khaemba? I think he is very lightweight.
Before 2022, President Uhuru Kenyatta will travel to Nyeri, Kiambu or Murang’a and call out the local greenhorns for what they are. They will be read the riot act and just like that, they will vanish into the Chania River.
Their political obituaries will be written.