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November 20, 2018

Why Ruto's fall is imminent

Deputy President William Ruto at a public rally
Deputy President William Ruto at a public rally

  “And as Samuel turned around  to go away Saul seized the edge of his robe and it tore. So Samuel said to him, “the Lord has torn the Kingdom of Israel form you today, and has given it to a neighbour of yours who is better than you” 2 Samuel 15:27-28.

 Could the current intense political simmering in Kenya between Deputy President William Ruto and Baringo Senator Gideon Moi about to reach boiling point and present a scenario like the one in the old kingdom of Israel? Is the coveted, ultimate political prize — the presidency — about to be snatched out the hand of DP Ruto?

 The signs are crystal clear and the writings on the wall. Or what would we make of President Uhuru Kenyatta saying his deputy ‘anatangatanga?’, Or when Ruto makes a visit to Kabarak and is denied access to his would be host? Or when Uhuru and Raila have handshakes and later hugs and the DP is only a by-stander?

 These signs maybe clear indicators of an imminent fall or fallout. His utterances and the outbursts of his   lieutenants may be the catalysts that could lead to this fall. They respond angrily and emotionally to every perceived attack or government directive, which seem not to favour them.

 Anger and emotional response to any situations, more so competitive political environment such as ours, is the greatest barrier to power.  Emotions dim vision and reason. It has a ripple effect that invariably makes the situations less controllable as Robert Greene would put it. This would intensify the resolve of his enemies to curtail and vanquish him completely.

 No wonder CS Charles Keter, a DP ally, completely wigged out to the  extent that he compares  the nabbing of KPLC transformers saga suspects to the unfortunate Zambia national football team plane crash of  1993. Senator Kipchumba Murkomen has further exacerbated   the situation by inciting the Mau evictees to stay put, despite government directive to have all squatters moved out of the water tower.

 These two angry retorts from Ruto allies and earlier ones directed at the person of the President and his family will not only accelerate DP’s downfall but also  lead to his likely  total political subjugation.

 It would seem those advising the DP have not read Robert Greene’s book The 48 Laws of Power. The first law simply says, “Never outshine the master. Always make those above you feel comfortably superior and be careful when trying to please or impress them not to go too far in displaying your talents or you might accomplish the opposite  — inspire fear and insecurity”.

 And this could be the greatest political sin Ruto might have committed since he became Deputy President. He would match, even display bromance, outshine or out rightly contradict his boss in public. It was even rumoured  that in many occasions  the DP would brag to his close allies and supporters that he was in-charge of the government. Many political analysts would aver that sooner or later Ruto would fall. And  that fall seems to be at hand.

 Ruto’s advisers would only be compared to young men at King Rehoboam’s court in the united kingdom of Israel, who misadvised him into rejecting a request by his subjects to lighten the heavy yoke and burdens loaded on them by his father, King Solomon. The young courtiers’ advice resulted in the division of the kingdom leaving King Rehoboam to rule only one tribe out of the twelve tribes.

 And history is replete with  many fallen men who tried to  be equal  or outshine    their superiors.

 In December 2013 in North Korea, Jang Song Thaek, Kim Jong-un’s uncle was executed for seemingly challenging  the  leadership  of his youthful nephew by displaying  his brilliances in matters of state, his  long experience and strong political power base built over  the years.

 Closer home, in July 1983, a Judicial Commission of Inquiry was set up to inquire into the conduct of Charles Njonjo, who had established a powerful political network which seemed to challenge the leadership of President Daniel Moi. That commission ended Njongo's political ambition and career.

 Could the choreography against Ruto and his  lieutenants on the Mau Complex the high voltage corruption saga at the KPLC, the NCPB, the Ruaraka land  scandal, the Kenya Pipeline and many others be the rope that  would lead him to his political guillotine?





Talel is a management consultant in Nairobi

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